One card per game: when, the line and where it opened, who the books expect to win, what the
weather is doing at kickoff, who is hurt, and which of our ranked players are in it. Weather is
shown, not modeled: only wind moves a projection, and the lines already know the forecast.
Built Nov 3, 1:17 AM ET · lines the median of 11 sportsbooks · forecasts and alerts from the National Weather Service · refreshes with every rankings run
Through 6 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+3.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 17% of dropbacks.
Our players
Bryce YoungQB11 · tier 3
Chuba HubbardRB10 · tier 2
Tetairoa McMillanWR12 · tier 1
Jalen CokerWR16 · tier 2
Darren WallerTE25 · tier 2
Packers
Injury report
Matthew GoldenWR · Questionable
How they play
Through 7 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+3.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.
Our players
Jordan LoveQB10 · tier 3
Josh JacobsRB9 · tier 2
Christian WatsonWR11 · tier 1
Matthew GoldenWR17 · tier 2
Tucker KraftTE4 · tier 1
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RavensatBills
Final: Ravens 10, Bills 36
Line
Bills by 3
Total
54.5 · opened 54
Implied
Bills 28.8 · Ravens 25.8
Win chance
Bills 61% · Ravens 39%
Bills on 14 days' rest against 7.
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Ravens
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-2.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.
Our players
Lamar JacksonQB5 · tier 2
Zay FlowersWR4 · tier 1
Derrick HenryRB8 · tier 2
Mark AndrewsTE16 · tier 2
Ja'Kobi LaneWR55 · tier 3
Bills
Injury report
Dalton KincaidTE · Questionable
DJ MooreWR · Questionable
How they play
Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.
Our players
Josh AllenQB1 · tier 1
James CookRB7 · tier 1
DJ MooreWR25 · tier 2
Dalton KincaidTE10 · tier 1
Khalil ShakirWR34 · tier 3
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TitansatBengals
Final: Titans 36, Bengals 43
Line
Bengals by 13.5 · opened Bengals by 10.5
Total
46 · opened 46.5
Implied
Bengals 29.8 · Titans 16.3
Win chance
Bengals 86% · Titans 14%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Titans
Injury report
Carnell TateWR · Out
Tyjae SpearsRB · Out
How they play
Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-4.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.
Our players
Cam WardQB26 · tier 6
Tony PollardRB19 · tier 2
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR23 · tier 2
Elic AyomanorWR57 · tier 3
Gunnar HelmTE36 · tier 3
Bengals
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 6 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+5.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.
Our players
Joe BurrowQB3 · tier 1
Ja'Marr ChaseWR5 · tier 1
Tee HigginsWR7 · tier 1
Chase BrownRB15 · tier 2
Samaje PerineRB36 · tier 4
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CardinalsatCowboys
Final: Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30
Line
Cowboys by 7.5 · opened Cowboys by 6.75
Total
54.5
Implied
Cowboys 31 · Cardinals 23.5
Win chance
Cowboys 75% · Cardinals 25%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Cardinals
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.
Our players
Jacoby BrissettQB8 · tier 2
Trey McBrideTE1 · tier 1
Michael WilsonWR15 · tier 2
Jeremiyah LoveRB24 · tier 3
Kendrick BourneWR44 · tier 3
Cowboys
Injury report
George PickensWR · Questionable
Luke SchoonmakerTE · Questionable
Malik DavisRB · IR
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+1.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 16% of dropbacks.
Our players
Dak PrescottQB2 · tier 1
CeeDee LambWR3 · tier 1
Javonte WilliamsRB5 · tier 1
George PickensWR9 · tier 1
Ryan FlournoyWR38 · tier 3
Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game
VikingsatLions
Final: Vikings 15, Lions 19
Line
Lions by 3.5
Total
46
Implied
Lions 24.8 · Vikings 21.3
Win chance
Lions 62% · Vikings 38%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Vikings
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 34% of dropbacks.
Our players
Kyler MurrayQB12 · tier 3
Justin JeffersonWR10 · tier 1
T.J. HockensonTE6 · tier 1
Jordan MasonRB30 · tier 3
Aaron JonesRB31 · tier 3
Lions
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.
Our players
Jared GoffQB13 · tier 3
Jahmyr GibbsRB1 · tier 1
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR6 · tier 1
Jameson WilliamsWR22 · tier 2
Sam LaPortaTE8 · tier 1
Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game
ColtsatJaguars
Final: Colts 7, Jaguars 42
Line
Jaguars by 10 · opened Jaguars by 9.5
Total
45.5 · opened 46.5
Implied
Jaguars 27.8 · Colts 17.8
Win chance
Jaguars 80% · Colts 20%
Jaguars on 14 days' rest against 7.
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Colts
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.9% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 18% of dropbacks.
Our players
Daniel JonesQB28 · tier 6
Jonathan TaylorRB18 · tier 2
Tyler WarrenTE9 · tier 1
Keenan AllenWR45 · tier 3
Josh DownsWR50 · tier 3
Jaguars
Injury report
Jakobi MeyersWR · Questionable
How they play
Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.9% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.
Our players
Trevor LawrenceQB7 · tier 2
Bhayshul TutenRB17 · tier 2
Parker WashingtonWR13 · tier 2
Brenton StrangeTE12 · tier 1
Jakobi MeyersWR43 · tier 3
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RaidersatJets
Final: Raiders 38, Jets 33
Line
Jets by 1.5
Total
46.5 · opened 45.5
Implied
Jets 24 · Raiders 22.5
Win chance
Jets 54% · Raiders 46%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Raiders
Injury report
Jack BechWR · Questionable
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.
Our players
Kirk CousinsQB21 · tier 4
Ashton JeantyRB14 · tier 2
Brock BowersTE2 · tier 1
Tre TuckerWR26 · tier 2
Michael MayerTE26 · tier 2
Jets
Injury report
Breece HallRB · Questionable
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.
Our players
Geno SmithQB18 · tier 4
Braelon AllenRB13 · tier 2
Breece HallRB16 · tier 2
Garrett WilsonWR14 · tier 2
Omar CooperWR37 · tier 3
Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game
BrownsatSteelers
Final: Browns 6, Steelers 27
Line
Steelers by 3.5
Total
39 · opened 39.5
Implied
Steelers 21.3 · Browns 17.8
Win chance
Steelers 64% · Browns 36%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Browns
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.
Our players
Deshaun WatsonQB24 · tier 5
Quinshon JudkinsRB23 · tier 3
Denzel BostonWR29 · tier 2
KC ConcepcionWR30 · tier 2
Harold FanninTE15 · tier 2
Steelers
Injury report
Ben SkowronekWR · Questionable
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+2.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.
Our players
Aaron RodgersQB23 · tier 5
Jaylen WarrenRB11 · tier 2
DK MetcalfWR18 · tier 2
Germie BernardWR31 · tier 2
Rico DowdleRB29 · tier 3
Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game
FalconsatBuccaneers
Final: Falcons 0, Buccaneers 16
Line
Buccaneers by 2 · opened Buccaneers by 2.5
Total
43.5 · opened 45
Implied
Buccaneers 22.8 · Falcons 20.8
Win chance
Buccaneers 54% · Falcons 46%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Falcons
Injury report
Olamide ZaccheausWR · Questionable
Brian RobinsonRB · Out
How they play
Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-5.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 22% of dropbacks.
Our players
Michael PenixQB22 · tier 5
Bijan RobinsonRB2 · tier 1
Drake LondonWR8 · tier 1
Kyle PittsTE13 · tier 2
Jahan DotsonWR65 · tier 4
Buccaneers
Injury report
Emeka EgbukaWR · Out
Kenny GainwellRB · Questionable
How they play
Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.
Our players
Baker MayfieldQB20 · tier 4
Bucky IrvingRB20 · tier 2
Chris GodwinWR32 · tier 2
Cade OttonTE19 · tier 2
Ted HurstWR54 · tier 3
Sun 4:05 PM ET
ChargersatRams
Final: Chargers 9, Rams 24
Line
Rams by 6.5
Total
45.5 · opened 45
Implied
Rams 26 · Chargers 19.5
Win chance
Rams 72% · Chargers 28%
Chargers on 14 days' rest against 7.
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Chargers
Injury report
Alec IngoldRB · IR
Trey LanceQB · IR
How they play
Through 6 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-7.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.
Our players
Justin HerbertQB15 · tier 3
Ladd McConkeyWR36 · tier 3
Omarion HamptonRB32 · tier 3
Quentin JohnstonWR48 · tier 3
Tre HarrisWR52 · tier 3
Rams
Injury report
Colby ParkinsonTE · Questionable
Blake GrupeK · IR
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 15% of dropbacks.
Our players
Matthew StaffordQB16 · tier 3
Puka NacuaWR2 · tier 1
Kyren WilliamsRB6 · tier 1
Blake CorumRB27 · tier 3
Tyler HigbeeTE14 · tier 2
Sun 4:25 PM ET · division game
ChiefsatBroncos
Final: Chiefs 24, Broncos 28
Line
Chiefs by 1
Total
41.5 · opened 40.5
Implied
Broncos 20.3 · Chiefs 21.3
Win chance
Broncos 49% · Chiefs 51%
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Chiefs
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+2.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 16% of dropbacks.
Our players
Patrick MahomesQB14 · tier 3
Kenneth WalkerRB3 · tier 1
Rashee RiceWR20 · tier 2
Travis KelceTE7 · tier 1
Xavier WorthyWR49 · tier 3
Broncos
Injury report
Jaylen WaddleWR · Questionable
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 29% of dropbacks.
Our players
Bo NixQB17 · tier 4
Jonah ColemanRB22 · tier 3
Jaylen WaddleWR39 · tier 3
Courtland SuttonWR42 · tier 3
J.K. DobbinsRB35 · tier 4
Sun 4:25 PM ET · division game
PatriotsatDolphins
Final: Patriots 24, Dolphins 19
Line
Patriots by 7
Total
41.5 · opened 44
Implied
Dolphins 17.3 · Patriots 24.3
Win chance
Dolphins 25% · Patriots 75%
Patriots on 10 days' rest against 7.
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Patriots
Injury report
A.J. BrownWR · Questionable
TreVeyon HendersonRB · Questionable
Reggie GilliamRB · IR
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 23% of dropbacks.
Our players
Drake MayeQB6 · tier 2
Rhamondre StevensonRB12 · tier 2
Hunter HenryTE5 · tier 1
A.J. BrownWR28 · tier 2
DeMario DouglasWR41 · tier 3
Dolphins
Injury report
Nobody of note on the report.
How they play
Through 6 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-8.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 17% of dropbacks.
Our players
Malik WillisQB25 · tier 5
Ollie GordonRB21 · tier 3
Malik WashingtonWR33 · tier 3
Caleb DouglasWR47 · tier 3
Greg DulcichTE21 · tier 2
Sun 8:20 PM ET · division game
EaglesatCommanders
Final: Eagles 10, Commanders 27
Line
Commanders by 6 · opened Commanders by 5.5
Total
40.5 · opened 40
Implied
Commanders 23.3 · Eagles 17.3
Win chance
Commanders 70% · Eagles 30%
Commanders on 13 days' rest against 6.
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Eagles
Injury report
Dontayvion WicksWR · Out
DeVonta SmithWR · Out
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 11% of dropbacks.
Our players
Joe MiltonQB29 · tier 6
Tanner McKeeQB27 · tier 6
Dallas GoedertTE3 · tier 1
Saquon BarkleyRB25 · tier 3
Makai LemonWR24 · tier 2
Commanders
Injury report
Treylon BurksWR · Questionable
John BatesTE · Questionable
How they play
Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 17% of dropbacks.
Our players
Jayden DanielsQB4 · tier 2
Stefon DiggsWR21 · tier 2
Rachaad WhiteRB26 · tier 3
Antonio WilliamsWR46 · tier 3
Chig OkonkwoTE18 · tier 2
Mon 8:15 PM ET
BearsatSeahawks
Final: Bears 34, Seahawks 17
Line
Seahawks by 3
Total
46.5
Implied
Seahawks 24.8 · Bears 21.8
Win chance
Seahawks 61% · Bears 39%
Bears on 11 days' rest against 8.
Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes
Bears
Injury report
Kyle MonangaiRB · Out
Hayden LargeTE · IR
How they play
Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (0% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.
Our players
Caleb WilliamsQB9 · tier 3
D'Andre SwiftRB4 · tier 1
Luther BurdenWR19 · tier 2
Colston LovelandTE11 · tier 1
Rome OdunzeWR35 · tier 3
Seahawks
Injury report
Rashid ShaheedWR · Out
Drew LockQB · Questionable
Jadarian PriceRB · IR
Robbie OuztsRB · IR
How they play
Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-4.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 27% of dropbacks.
Our players
Sam DarnoldQB19 · tier 4
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR1 · tier 1
Zach CharbonnetRB28 · tier 3
AJ BarnerTE17 · tier 2
Cooper KuppWR53 · tier 3
How to read it
The weather strip is colored so you can read it before the numbers. Grey is a
roof. Green is a day nothing needs saying about. Amber is worth a look: wind of 15 mph or more,
a real chance of rain, or an active advisory at the venue. Red is rough: 20 mph wind, rain
more likely than not, a warning from the Weather Service, or a hard freeze. The forecast is the
kickoff hour at the stadium, and the alerts are the Weather Service's own, in their words.
Only wind changes a ranking. Rain was measured over two seasons and does cost
points in a real downpour, but not in a way that reorders anyone against the field, and the
sportsbooks' lines the rankings lean on already carry the forecast. So the strip is a tool for
you, not a thumb on the model.
The line is the middle of what several sportsbooks posted, in the home team's
favor when negative; "opened" is Wednesday's first pull, so a move is news the market priced
since. Win chance comes from the moneylines with the books' cut removed, the
same numbers the survivor tool uses. Our players are this week's ranked
players from each side with their half-PPR projection and, where the books have a full line
on them, the market's number. Nothing here is betting advice.