Fantasy Football· Week 9

Rest-of-season projections

Every player, every remaining week. This week's number is the weekly model's own projection, matchup and weather included; the weeks after use his rate with the week switched off, just his own volume and efficiency, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward last season. Each week is scaled by his chance of playing it, measured from five seasons of injury reports: Out and Doubtful are nothing this week, a Questionable starter plays 70% of the time, injured reserve is nothing until four games have passed and then the return rate for what is hurt, and a torn ACL is the season. At quarterback one man plays, so a fill-in gets the weeks the starter is expected to miss and no more. The further out, the rougher the number; this week's is the one to trust.

As of Nov 8, 11:47 AM ET · half-PPR, 12-team replacement · refreshes every morning with the rankings

Run a trade on these This week's rankings

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 14th quarterback would score in the weeks he plays, 16.7 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Josh Allen	BUF	20.4	90.4	201	20.4	22.6	22.6	22.6	22.6	22.6	22.6	22.6	22.6	9	201	51
2	Joe Burrow	CIN	23.1	79.6	182	23.1	19.9	19.9	19.9	19.9	19.9	19.9	19.9	19.9	9	182	32
3	Brock Purdy	SF	21.7	77.2	176	21.7	19.3	19.3	19.3	19.3	19.3	19.3	19.3	19.3	9	176	26
4	Jayden Daniels	WAS	18.9	74.8	168	18.9	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	9	168	18
5	Trevor Lawrence	JAX	17.9	73.6	165	17.9	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	9	165	15
6	Jared Goff	DET	16.9	73.6	164	16.9	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	18.4	9	164	14
7	C.J. Stroud	HOU	16.8	72.0	161	16.8	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	9	161	11
8	Patrick Mahomes	KC	20.6	70.0	161	20.6	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	9	161	10
9	Tyler Shough	NO	17.1	70.0	157	17.1	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	9	157	7
10	Bryce Young	CAR	15.8	66.8	149	15.8	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	9	149	0
11	Drake Maye	NE	17.9	56.1	149	17.9	18.7	bye	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	8	149	15
12	Dak Prescott	DAL	17.7	73.2	146	17.7	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	bye	18.3	18.3	18.3	8	146	12
13	Caleb Williams	CHI	18.2	54.0	144	18.2	bye	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	8	144	11
14	Jordan Love	GB	16.3	51.6	137	16.3	17.2	bye	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	8	137	3
15	Matthew Stafford	LAR	15.9	50.1	133	15.9	16.7	bye	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	8	133	0
16	Malik Willis	MIA	17.6	56.0	130	17.6	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	9	130	0
17	Kirk Cousins	LV	15.7	48.3	128	15.7	16.1	16.1	16.1	bye	16.1	16.1	16.1	16.1	8	128	0
18	Bo Nix	DEN	16.1	47.4	127	16.1	bye	15.8	15.8	15.8	15.8	15.8	15.8	15.8	8	127	0
19	Michael Penix	ATL	17.9	45.9	125	17.9	15.3	bye	15.3	15.3	15.3	15.3	15.3	15.3	8	125	0
20	Jacoby Brissett	ARI	12.5	63.6	124	12.5	15.9	15.9	15.9	15.9	bye	15.9	15.9	15.9	8	124	0
21	Justin Herbert	LAC	12.9	54.8	123	12.9	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	9	123	0
22	Geno Smith	NYJ	14.6	44.1	118	14.6	14.7	14.7	14.7	bye	14.7	14.7	14.7	14.7	8	118	0
23	J.J. McCarthy	NYG	14.7	50.8	116	14.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	9	116	0
24	Aaron Rodgers	PIT	bye	58.0	116	bye	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	8	116	0
25	Baker Mayfield	TB	14.9	42.6	114	14.9	bye	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	8	114	0
26	Deshaun WatsonQuestionableQuestionable, concussion; counted at 70% this week	CLE	11.070%	41.82.6 of 3 games	113	11.0	13.4	bye	14.0	14.4	14.8	15.0	15.1	15.3	7.1	113	0
27	Kyler MurrayOut, hamstring; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 2 weeks	MIN	—	41.62.6 of 4 games	99	—	5.5	9.9	12.5	13.7	14.2	14.3	14.5	14.6	6.2	99	0
28	Daniel Jones	IND	14.5	36.0	99	14.5	12.0	12.0	12.0	bye	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	8	99	0
29	Cam Ward	TEN	bye	46.0	92	bye	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	8	92	0
30	Sam DarnoldOut, soft-tissue injury; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 3 weeks	SEA	—	23.91.6 of 3 games	74	—	4.7	bye	8.5	10.7	11.8	12.4	12.7	13.0	5	74	0
31	Jalen HurtsInjured reserve, 3 games missed so far; eligible in 2 weeks, then a long shot each week	PHI	—	11.70.8 of 3 games	40	—	bye	2.3	4.1	5.3	5.8	6.8	7.7	8.3	2.5	40	0
32	Tyler HuntleyNA; no data on how long, so nothing for six weeks and a coin flip after	BAL	—	—0 of 3 games	15	—	—	—	—	bye	—	—	7.3	7.3	1	15	0

Not expected back this season: Lamar Jackson (Behind Tyler Huntley on the depth chart; no games counted). A torn ACL or Achilles, or a list the data says nothing about; when one is activated he comes back the next morning.

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 32nd back would score in the weeks he plays, 8.3 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	21.8	85.2	192	21.8	21.3	21.3	21.3	21.3	21.3	21.3	21.3	21.3	9	192	118
2	Christian McCaffrey	SF	18.4	68.4	155	18.4	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	9	155	80
3	Kenneth Walker	KC	17.6	68.4	154	17.6	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	9	154	80
4	Bijan Robinson	ATL	19.7	54.0	146	19.7	18.0	bye	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	8	146	79
5	James Cook	BUF	14.4	59.6	134	14.4	14.9	14.9	14.9	14.9	14.9	14.9	14.9	14.9	9	134	59
6	Chuba Hubbard	CAR	14.1	55.6	125	14.1	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	9	125	51
7	Derrick Henry	BAL	13.1	44.1	116	13.1	14.7	14.7	14.7	bye	14.7	14.7	14.7	14.7	8	116	50
8	Jaylen Warren	PIT	bye	58.0	116	bye	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	8	116	50
9	Jonathan Taylor	IND	14.7	43.2	116	14.7	14.4	14.4	14.4	bye	14.4	14.4	14.4	14.4	8	116	49
10	D'Andre Swift	CHI	14.3	42.6	114	14.3	bye	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	8	114	47
11	Kyren Williams	LAR	13.7	42.3	112	13.7	14.1	bye	14.1	14.1	14.1	14.1	14.1	14.1	8	112	46
12	Javonte Williams	DAL	14.1	54.8	110	14.1	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	bye	13.7	13.7	13.7	8	110	44
13	Chase Brown	CIN	11.9	48.4	109	11.9	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	9	109	34
14	Josh Jacobs	GB	13.0	37.8	101	13.0	12.6	bye	12.6	12.6	12.6	12.6	12.6	12.6	8	101	35
15	Ashton Jeanty	LV	11.4	38.4	101	11.4	12.8	12.8	12.8	bye	12.8	12.8	12.8	12.8	8	101	35
16	Bucky Irving	TB	12.5	36.9	99	12.5	bye	12.3	12.3	12.3	12.3	12.3	12.3	12.3	8	99	32
17	Bhayshul TutenQuestionableQuestionable, ankle; counted at 70% this week	JAX	10.370%	40.23.5 of 4 games	94	10.3	8.9	10.0	10.6	10.7	10.8	10.9	11.0	11.0	8.1	94	27
18	Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	13.9	33.3	92	13.9	11.1	bye	11.1	11.1	11.1	11.1	11.1	11.1	8	92	25
19	Breece Hall	NYJ	9.4	33.9	88	9.4	11.3	11.3	11.3	bye	11.3	11.3	11.3	11.3	8	88	22
20	Tony Pollard	TEN	bye	44.0	88	bye	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	8	88	22
21	Aaron Jones	MIN	7.7	40.0	88	7.7	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	9	88	13
22	Devin Singletary	NYG	11.4	37.2	86	11.4	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9	86	11
23	Quinshon Judkins	CLE	11.2	31.5	85	11.2	10.5	bye	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	8	85	18
24	Saquon Barkley	PHI	9.3	31.8	84	9.3	bye	10.6	10.6	10.6	10.6	10.6	10.6	10.6	8	84	17
25	Braelon Allen	NYJ	7.7	31.8	82	7.7	10.6	10.6	10.6	bye	10.6	10.6	10.6	10.6	8	82	15
26	Ollie Gordon	MIA	11.1	34.8	81	11.1	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	9	81	6
27	Woody Marks	HOU	12.0	33.6	79	12.0	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	9	79	4
28	Alvin Kamara	NO	9.4	33.6	77	9.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	9	77	2
29	Rachaad White	WAS	8.6	33.2	75	8.6	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	9	75	0
30	Jonah Coleman	DEN	12.0	26.7	74	12.0	bye	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	8	74	8
31	Omarion Hampton	LAC	7.2	32.4	72	7.2	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	9	72	0
32	Audric Estimé	NO	8.1	30.8	70	8.1	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	9	70	0
33	Emanuel Wilson	SEA	10.3	24.6	68	10.3	8.2	bye	8.2	8.2	8.2	8.2	8.2	8.2	8	68	1
34	Cam SkatteboDoubtful, hamstring; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 2 weeks	NYG	—	27.42.6 of 4 games	65	—	3.6	6.5	8.3	9.0	9.3	9.5	9.6	9.6	6.2	65	14
35	Jordan Mason	MIN	7.2	28.8	65	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	9	65	0
36	Blake Corum	LAR	8.9	23.4	63	8.9	7.8	bye	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	8	63	0
37	Jadarian Price	SEA	8.5	23.1	62	8.5	7.7	bye	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	8	62	0
38	Zach Charbonnet	SEA	7.8	23.4	62	7.8	7.8	bye	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	8	62	0
39	Tyler Allgeier	ARI	10.3	29.2	61	10.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	bye	7.3	7.3	7.3	8	61	0
40	Rico Dowdle	PIT	bye	30.4	61	bye	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	8	61	0
41	Kyle MonangaiQuestionableQuestionable, hand or arm; counted at 70% this week	CHI	8.470%	19.82.4 of 3 games	56	8.4	bye	6.4	6.6	6.8	6.9	7.0	7.1	7.1	6.5	56	3
42	J.K. Dobbins	DEN	5.4	21.6	56	5.4	bye	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	8	56	0
43	Kendre Miller	NO	6.7	20.4	48	6.7	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	9	48	0
44	Kimani Vidal	LAC	5.0	20.4	46	5.0	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	9	46	0
45	Kenny Gainwell	TB	5.7	17.1	46	5.7	bye	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	8	46	0
46	De'Von AchaneInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	MIA	1.815%	17.11.4 of 4 games	45	1.8	3.2	4.1	4.5	5.3	6.0	6.5	6.8	7.0	3.7	45	15
47	Chris Rodriguez	JAX	6.1	19.2	44	6.1	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	44	0
48	David MontgomeryOut, soft-tissue injury; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 2 weeks	HOU	—	17.92.1 of 4 games	42	—	2.9	4.3	5.2	5.5	5.9	6.0	6.2	6.4	5.1	42	0
49	Dylan Sampson	CLE	5.7	15.6	42	5.7	5.2	bye	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	8	42	0
50	Kaelon Black	SF	6.0	17.6	41	6.0	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	9	41	0
51	Jawhar Jordan	HOU	10.4	15.2	41	10.4	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	9	41	0
52	Pierre Strong	GB	5.0	15.3	41	5.0	5.1	bye	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	8	41	0
53	Keaton Mitchell	LAC	3.9	18.0	40	3.9	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	9	40	0
54	George Holani	SEA	4.1	15.3	40	4.1	5.1	bye	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	8	40	0
55	Austin Ekeler	WAS	4.9	17.2	39	4.9	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	9	39	0
56	Elijah Mitchell	PHI	4.7	14.4	38	4.7	bye	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	8	38	0
57	Emmett Johnson	KC	4.7	16.4	38	4.7	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	9	38	0
58	Samaje Perine	CIN	3.1	17.2	38	3.1	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	9	38	0
59	Justice Hill	BAL	4.7	13.8	37	4.7	4.6	4.6	4.6	bye	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	8	37	0
60	Ty Johnson	BUF	4.7	16.0	37	4.7	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	9	37	0
61	MarShawn LloydQuestionableQuestionable, knee; counted at 70% this week	GB	1.970%	13.52.5 of 3 games	36	1.9	4.2	bye	4.5	4.8	4.9	5.1	5.1	5.1	6.8	36	0
62	Mike Washington	LV	5.4	12.6	35	5.4	4.2	4.2	4.2	bye	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	8	35	0
63	Tyjae Spears	TEN	bye	17.2	34	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	8	34	0
64	Jaleel McLaughlin	CLE	3.3	12.9	33	3.3	4.3	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	8	33	0
65	Travis EtienneInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	NO	1.315%	12.31.4 of 4 games	33	1.3	2.3	3.0	3.2	3.8	4.3	4.7	4.9	5.0	3.7	33	2
66	Roschon Johnson	CHI	4.0	11.7	31	4.0	bye	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	8	31	0
67	Corey Kiner	NE	3.6	11.7	31	3.6	3.9	bye	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	8	31	0
68	Michael Carter	TEN	bye	15.2	30	bye	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	8	30	0
69	Kaleb Johnson	GB	1.3	12.0	29	1.3	4.0	bye	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	8	29	0
70	Brian RobinsonOut, hamstring; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 3 weeks	ATL	—	9.81.8 of 3 games	27	—	2.4	bye	3.5	3.9	4.1	4.3	4.3	4.4	4.9	27	0
71	Seth McGowan	IND	4.1	9.6	26	4.1	3.2	3.2	3.2	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	8	26	0
72	TreVeyon HendersonOut, illness; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 5 weeks	NE	—	6.90.9 of 3 games	25	—	1.7	bye	2.0	3.2	4.1	4.4	4.8	4.9	3.4	25	0
73	Jaylen WrightQuestionableQuestionable, soft-tissue injury; counted at 70% this week	MIA	1.470%	11.33.5 of 4 games	25	1.4	2.6	2.8	2.9	3.0	3.0	3.1	3.1	3.1	8.1	25	0
74	Bam KnightOut, concussion; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 2 weeks	ARI	—	11.32.5 of 4 games	23	—	2.1	2.7	3.1	3.4	bye	3.7	3.8	3.9	4.9	23	0
75	Isaiah Davis	NYJ	2.5	8.4	22	2.5	2.8	2.8	2.8	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	8	22	0
76	Tyler Goodson	DAL	3.2	10.4	21	3.2	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	bye	2.6	2.6	2.6	8	21	0
77	Sean Tucker	TB	3.8	7.5	21	3.8	bye	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	8	21	0
78	Jaydon Blue	PHI	2.3	7.5	20	2.3	bye	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	8	20	0
79	Jacory Croskey-MerrittInjured reserve, 2 games missed so far; eligible in 2 weeks, then a long shot each week	WAS	—	5.70.8 of 4 games	20	—	—	1.1	2.0	2.6	2.8	3.4	3.8	4.1	2.5	20	0
80	DJ Giddens	IND	2.6	6.9	19	2.6	2.3	2.3	2.3	bye	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	8	19	0
81	Emari Demercado	HOU	2.7	8.0	19	2.7	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	9	19	0
82	Ameer Abdullah	JAX	2.0	8.0	18	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	9	18	0
83	AJ Dillon	CAR	1.9	8.0	18	1.9	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	9	18	0
84	Nicholas Singleton	TEN	bye	8.8	18	bye	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	8	18	0
85	Sione VakiQuestionableQuestionable, ankle; counted at 70% this week	DET	1.970%	6.83.5 of 4 games	16	1.9	1.5	1.7	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	8.1	16	0
86	Jonathon BrooksInjured reserve, 5 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	CAR	0.513%	5.11.2 of 4 games	14	0.5	0.9	1.1	1.4	1.7	1.9	2.0	2.1	2.6	3.4	14	0
87	RJ HarveyInjured reserve, knee, 1 game missed so far; eligible in 4 weeks, then a long shot each week	DEN	—	1.10.1 of 3 games	14	—	bye	—	—	1.1	2.6	3.1	3.4	3.8	1.7	14	0
88	Tyrone TracyInjured reserve, 7 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	NYG	0.24%	4.81.0 of 4 games	14	0.2	0.7	1.1	1.4	1.6	1.7	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.9	14	0
89	Ray Davis	BUF	1.3	6.0	13	1.3	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	9	13	0
90	Lan Larison	NE	1.9	4.2	12	1.9	1.4	bye	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4	8	12	0

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 44th receiver would score in the weeks he plays, 6.9 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	18.3	54.0	144	18.3	18.0	bye	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	8	144	89
2	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	19.1	62.0	143	19.1	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	9	143	81
3	Puka Nacua	LAR	17.4	51.0	136	17.4	17.0	bye	17.0	17.0	17.0	17.0	17.0	17.0	8	136	81
4	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	15.6	60.8	122	15.6	15.2	15.2	15.2	15.2	bye	15.2	15.2	15.2	8	122	67
5	Chris Olave	NO	12.7	52.4	117	12.7	13.1	13.1	13.1	13.1	13.1	13.1	13.1	13.1	9	117	55
6	Amon-Ra St. BrownQuestionableQuestionable, back or ribs; counted at 70% this week	DET	10.070%	49.93.3 of 4 games	115	10.0	11.4	12.4	12.8	13.3	13.7	13.8	14.0	14.1	7.6	115	63
7	Justin Jefferson	MIN	12.8	48.8	110	12.8	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	9	110	48
8	Parker Washington	JAX	11.3	48.4	108	11.3	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	9	108	46
9	Malik Nabers	NYG	12.6	47.2	107	12.6	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	9	107	45
10	Tee Higgins	CIN	9.8	48.0	106	9.8	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	9	106	44
11	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	10.9	47.2	105	10.9	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	9	105	43
12	Nico Collins	HOU	12.0	46.4	105	12.0	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	9	105	43
13	Zay Flowers	BAL	13.9	38.1	103	13.9	12.7	12.7	12.7	bye	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	8	103	48
14	Drake London	ATL	11.7	39.0	103	11.7	13.0	bye	13.0	13.0	13.0	13.0	13.0	13.0	8	103	48
15	Christian Watson	GB	11.9	38.7	102	11.9	12.9	bye	12.9	12.9	12.9	12.9	12.9	12.9	8	102	47
16	Rashee Rice	KC	11.2	42.0	95	11.2	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	9	95	33
17	Jalen Coker	CAR	9.5	41.2	92	9.5	10.3	10.3	10.3	10.3	10.3	10.3	10.3	10.3	9	92	30
18	Matthew Golden	GB	11.4	34.2	91	11.4	11.4	bye	11.4	11.4	11.4	11.4	11.4	11.4	8	91	36
19	Jameson Williams	DET	9.5	39.6	89	9.5	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9	89	27
20	George PickensQuestionableQuestionable, hamstring; counted at 70% this week	DAL	8.470%	42.03.6 of 4 games	85	8.4	9.4	10.4	11.0	11.2	bye	11.3	11.4	11.4	7.2	85	35
21	Michael Wilson	ARI	9.0	42.8	84	9.0	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	bye	10.7	10.7	10.7	8	84	29
22	Stefon Diggs	WAS	9.8	36.0	82	9.8	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9	82	20
23	Luther Burden	CHI	10.9	30.0	81	10.9	bye	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0	8	81	26
24	DJ Moore	BUF	8.6	35.2	79	8.6	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	9	79	17
25	Devaughn Vele	NO	7.5	33.6	75	7.5	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	9	75	13
26	DK Metcalf	PIT	bye	36.8	74	bye	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	8	74	18
27	Jaylen Waddle	DEN	9.1	27.6	74	9.1	bye	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	9.2	8	74	18
28	Ladd McConkey	LAC	8.7	32.0	73	8.7	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	9	73	11
29	Malik Washington	MIA	8.2	31.6	71	8.2	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	9	71	9
30	Jordan Addison	MIN	7.9	31.6	71	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	9	71	9
31	Khalil Shakir	BUF	7.5	30.8	69	7.5	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	9	69	7
32	Carnell Tate	TEN	bye	34.4	69	bye	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8	69	14
33	Denzel Boston	CLE	8.0	25.8	68	8.0	8.6	bye	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8	68	13
34	Xavier Worthy	KC	6.4	28.8	64	6.4	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	9	64	2
35	Tre Tucker	LV	7.4	24.0	63	7.4	8.0	8.0	8.0	bye	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8	63	8
36	Josh Downs	IND	8.1	23.7	63	8.1	7.9	7.9	7.9	bye	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	8	63	8
37	Caleb Douglas	MIA	7.8	27.6	63	7.8	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	9	63	1
38	KC Concepcion	CLE	8.2	23.4	63	8.2	7.8	bye	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	8	63	8
39	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	7.7	27.2	62	7.7	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	9	62	0
40	Keenan Allen	IND	8.5	22.8	62	8.5	7.6	7.6	7.6	bye	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	8	62	6
41	Ryan Flournoy	DAL	9.7	29.2	61	9.7	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	bye	7.3	7.3	7.3	8	61	6
42	Rome Odunze	CHI	8.4	22.2	60	8.4	bye	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	8	60	5
43	Garrett WilsonOut, concussion; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 2 weeks	NYJ	—	20.71.7 of 3 games	60	—	5.5	7.1	8.1	bye	9.0	9.7	9.9	10.2	4.9	60	26
44	Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	bye	29.2	58	bye	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	8	58	3
45	Emeka EgbukaQuestionableQuestionable, foot; counted at 70% this week	TB	6.470%	21.12.4 of 3 games	58	6.4	bye	6.6	7.1	7.4	7.6	7.7	7.7	7.8	6.7	58	12
46	Quentin Johnston	LAC	6.3	25.6	57	6.3	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	9	57	0
47	DeVonta SmithOut, hamstring; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 3 weeks	PHI	—	20.91.8 of 3 games	57	—	bye	5.1	7.4	8.4	8.7	9.1	9.2	9.5	4.9	57	24
48	Omar Cooper	NYJ	8.8	20.7	57	8.8	6.9	6.9	6.9	bye	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	8	57	2
49	Germie Bernard	PIT	bye	28.0	56	bye	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	8	56	1
50	Courtland Sutton	DEN	7.0	20.7	55	7.0	bye	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	8	55	0
51	Adonai Mitchell	NYJ	8.5	19.8	55	8.5	6.6	6.6	6.6	bye	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	8	55	0
52	Makai Lemon	PHI	8.5	19.8	55	8.5	bye	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	8	55	0
53	Antonio Williams	WAS	8.3	23.2	55	8.3	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	9	55	0
54	Tre Harris	LAC	5.5	24.4	54	5.5	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	9	54	0
55	Keon Coleman	BUF	5.8	23.6	53	5.8	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	9	53	0
56	DeMario Douglas	NE	7.6	18.9	52	7.6	6.3	bye	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	8	52	0
57	Chris Godwin	TB	6.2	19.2	51	6.2	bye	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	8	51	0
58	Marvin Harrison	HOU	5.2	22.8	51	5.2	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	9	51	0
59	Efton Chism	NE	6.0	18.3	49	6.0	6.1	bye	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	8	49	0
60	A.J. BrownOut, ankle; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 3 weeks	NE	—	17.11.9 of 3 games	47	—	4.2	bye	6.3	6.6	7.0	7.3	7.5	7.6	5.1	47	12
61	Mike EvansOut, back or ribs; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 4 weeks	SF	—	17.91.8 of 4 games	46	—	2.8	3.8	5.1	6.2	6.6	7.1	7.2	7.5	4.5	46	15
62	Darius Cooper	PHI	5.9	16.5	44	5.9	bye	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	8	44	0
63	Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	5.1	19.2	43	5.1	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	43	0
64	Malachi Fields	NYG	4.9	19.2	43	4.9	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	43	0
65	Jordan Watkins	SF	6.0	18.4	43	6.0	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	9	43	0
66	Isaac TeSlaa	DET	4.1	19.2	42	4.1	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	42	0
67	Kalif Raymond	CHI	4.1	15.9	41	4.1	bye	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3	8	41	0
68	Cooper Kupp	SEA	5.3	15.3	41	5.3	5.1	bye	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	8	41	0
69	Dohnte Meyers	CIN	5.8	17.6	41	5.8	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	9	41	0
70	Chris Bell	MIA	4.8	18.0	41	4.8	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	9	41	0
71	Marquise Brown	PHI	6.9	14.4	41	6.9	bye	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	8	41	0
72	Kayshon Boutte	HOU	3.6	18.4	40	3.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	9	40	0
73	Rashod Bateman	BAL	4.3	15.0	39	4.3	5.0	5.0	5.0	bye	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	8	39	0
74	Cody White	LV	6.3	14.1	39	6.3	4.7	4.7	4.7	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	8	39	0
75	Jahan Dotson	ATL	5.1	13.8	37	5.1	4.6	bye	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	8	37	0
76	Ted Hurst	TB	4.1	13.8	36	4.1	bye	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	8	36	0
77	Mitchell Tinsley	CIN	4.2	16.0	36	4.2	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	9	36	0
78	Jalen Nailor	LV	4.5	13.5	36	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	bye	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	8	36	0
79	Jalen Royals	KC	2.1	16.4	35	2.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	9	35	0
80	Ja'Kobi Lane	BAL	4.2	12.9	34	4.2	4.3	4.3	4.3	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	8	34	0
81	Brian Thomas	JAX	4.5	14.8	34	4.5	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	9	34	0
82	Tory Horton	SEA	4.7	12.3	33	4.7	4.1	bye	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	8	33	0
83	Savion Williams	GB	3.6	12.6	33	3.6	4.2	bye	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	8	33	0
84	Laquon Treadwell	IND	3.9	12.3	33	3.9	4.1	4.1	4.1	bye	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	8	33	0
85	Brandin Cooks	SF	3.7	14.4	33	3.7	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	9	33	0
86	Kevin Coleman	MIA	3.9	14.0	32	3.9	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	9	32	0
87	Elic Ayomanor	TEN	bye	15.6	31	bye	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	8	31	0
88	Brycen Tremayne	CAR	2.0	14.4	31	2.0	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	9	31	0
89	Tez Johnson	TB	3.2	11.7	30	3.2	bye	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	8	30	0
90	KeAndre Lambert-Smith	LAC	3.7	13.2	30	3.7	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	9	30	0
91	Isaiah Williams	NYJ	2.0	12.0	30	2.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	bye	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	8	30	0
92	Bryce Lance	NO	3.8	12.8	29	3.8	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
93	Darnell Mooney	NYG	2.9	13.2	29	2.9	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	9	29	0
94	Dontayvion WicksOut, ankle; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 4 weeks	PHI	—	10.21.4 of 3 games	29	—	bye	2.9	3.4	3.9	4.3	4.7	4.8	5.0	4.1	29	1
95	Josh Cameron	JAX	3.2	12.8	29	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
96	Kevin Austin	NO	3.1	12.8	29	3.1	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
97	Jared Wayne	MIA	3.0	12.8	29	3.0	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
98	John Metchie	CAR	3.1	12.4	28	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	9	28	0
99	Jerry Jeudy	CLE	3.3	10.5	28	3.3	3.5	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	8	28	0
100	Charlie JonesQuestionableQuestionable, hand or arm; counted at 70% this week	NYG	2.270%	12.13.3 of 4 games	28	2.2	2.8	3.0	3.1	3.2	3.3	3.4	3.4	3.4	7.6	28	0
101	Tim Patrick	NYJ	3.1	10.5	28	3.1	3.5	3.5	3.5	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	8	28	0
102	Chris Moore	BAL	2.8	10.5	27	2.8	3.5	3.5	3.5	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	8	27	0
103	Devontez Walker	BAL	5.2	8.7	25	5.2	2.9	2.9	2.9	bye	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	8	25	0
104	Tank Dell	HOU	3.0	11.2	25	3.0	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	9	25	0
105	Kyle Williams	NE	3.5	9.3	25	3.5	3.1	bye	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	8	25	0
106	Treylon BurksOut, foot; counted as missing this week, more likely than not back in 3 weeks	WAS	—	9.92.0 of 4 games	25	—	1.5	2.3	2.8	3.3	3.6	3.8	3.9	4.0	5.2	25	0
107	Marvin Mims	DEN	2.8	9.6	25	2.8	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	8	25	0
108	Theo Wease	LAC	2.6	11.2	25	2.6	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	9	25	0
109	Konata Mumpfield	LAR	3.1	9.3	25	3.1	3.1	bye	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	8	25	0
110	Davante AdamsInjured reserve, 2 games missed so far; eligible in 3 weeks, then a long shot each week	LAR	—	4.80.4 of 3 games	24	—	—	bye	1.7	3.1	4.0	4.3	5.1	5.8	2	24	10
111	Reggie Virgil	ARI	2.9	12.0	24	2.9	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	bye	3.0	3.0	3.0	8	24	0
112	Mack HollinsInjured reserve, soft-tissue injury, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	NE	1.626%	8.01.2 of 3 games	24	1.6	2.4	bye	2.6	3.0	3.4	3.4	3.5	3.6	3.5	24	0
113	Jacob Cowing	SF	4.2	9.6	23	4.2	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	9	23	0
114	Jack Bech	LV	2.9	8.7	23	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	bye	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	8	23	0
115	Tai Felton	MIN	1.9	10.4	23	1.9	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	9	23	0
116	Ben Skowronek	PIT	bye	11.2	22	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	8	22	0
117	Van Jefferson	WAS	2.4	10.0	22	2.4	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	9	22	0
118	Tutu Atwell	LAR	3.0	8.1	22	3.0	2.7	bye	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	8	22	0
119	Elijah Sarratt	BAL	2.6	8.1	21	2.6	2.7	2.7	2.7	bye	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	8	21	0
120	Cyrus Allen	KC	3.0	8.8	21	3.0	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	9	21	0

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 16th tight end would score in the weeks he plays, 7.1 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Brock Bowers	LV	14.1	41.1	110	14.1	13.7	13.7	13.7	bye	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	8	110	53
2	George Kittle	SF	13.4	47.2	108	13.4	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	9	108	44
3	Trey McBride	ARI	11.9	54.0	106	11.9	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	bye	13.5	13.5	13.5	8	106	50
4	Sam LaPorta	DET	10.1	38.4	87	10.1	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9	87	23
5	Isaiah Likely	NYG	9.0	38.0	85	9.0	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9	85	21
6	Travis Kelce	KC	9.3	37.2	84	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9	84	20
7	Dalton Kincaid	BUF	7.5	37.2	82	7.5	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9.3	9	82	18
8	Tucker Kraft	GB	9.1	28.8	76	9.1	9.6	bye	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	8	76	20
9	Tyler Warren	IND	9.4	26.7	72	9.4	8.9	8.9	8.9	bye	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	8	72	15
10	Brenton Strange	JAX	7.9	31.6	71	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	9	71	7
11	T.J. Hockenson	MIN	8.2	31.2	71	8.2	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	9	71	7
12	Colston Loveland	CHI	10.0	24.9	68	10.0	bye	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8	68	11
13	Dallas Goedert	PHI	7.6	25.2	66	7.6	bye	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8	66	10
14	Harold Fannin	CLE	9.0	23.7	64	9.0	7.9	bye	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	8	64	8
15	Dalton Schultz	HOU	6.8	28.4	64	6.8	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	9	64	0
16	Juwan Johnson	NO	6.1	26.8	60	6.1	6.7	6.7	6.7	6.7	6.7	6.7	6.7	6.7	9	60	0
17	Greg Dulcich	MIA	7.9	23.2	54	7.9	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	9	54	0
18	Mark Andrews	BAL	5.3	20.1	52	5.3	6.7	6.7	6.7	bye	6.7	6.7	6.7	6.7	8	52	0
19	Darren Waller	CAR	5.0	23.2	51	5.0	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	9	51	0
20	Chig Okonkwo	WAS	6.4	22.4	51	6.4	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	9	51	0
21	Hunter HenryQuestionableQuestionable, foot; counted at 70% this week	NE	4.970%	18.72.5 of 3 games	51	4.9	5.9	bye	6.3	6.5	6.7	6.8	6.9	7.0	6.9	51	2
22	Tyler Higbee	LAR	6.7	18.9	51	6.7	6.3	bye	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	8	51	0
23	Kyle Pitts	ATL	6.4	18.9	50	6.4	6.3	bye	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	8	50	0
24	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	bye	25.2	50	bye	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.3	8	50	0
25	Mike Gesicki	CIN	4.2	22.8	50	4.2	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	9	50	0
26	Michael Mayer	LV	5.9	17.4	46	5.9	5.8	5.8	5.8	bye	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	8	46	0
27	AJ Barner	SEA	5.7	17.4	46	5.7	5.8	bye	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	8	46	0
28	Oronde Gadsden	LAC	4.4	20.0	44	4.4	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	9	44	0
29	Cade Otton	TB	5.5	16.5	44	5.5	bye	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	8	44	0
30	Kenyon Sadiq	NYJ	4.5	15.6	41	4.5	5.2	5.2	5.2	bye	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	8	41	0
31	Mason Taylor	NYJ	5.8	14.1	39	5.8	4.7	4.7	4.7	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	8	39	0
32	Charlie Kolar	LAC	4.2	17.2	39	4.2	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	9	39	0
33	Jake FergusonQuestionableQuestionable, ankle; counted at 70% this week	DAL	3.370%	19.43.6 of 4 games	38	3.3	4.5	4.9	5.0	5.0	bye	5.1	5.1	5.1	7.1	38	0
34	Darnell Washington	PIT	bye	17.2	34	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	8	34	0
35	Colby ParkinsonQuestionableQuestionable, back or ribs; counted at 70% this week	LAR	4.370%	12.02.5 of 3 games	34	4.3	3.8	bye	4.0	4.2	4.3	4.4	4.5	4.5	6.8	34	0
36	Gavin Bartholomew	MIN	3.7	14.8	33	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	9	33	0
37	Will MalloryQuestionableQuestionable; counted at 70% this week	IND	3.870%	11.92.5 of 3 games	33	3.8	3.7	4.0	4.2	bye	4.3	4.3	4.4	4.4	6.9	33	0
38	Gunnar Helm	TEN	bye	16.4	33	bye	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	8	33	0
39	Tommy Tremble	CAR	4.0	14.4	33	4.0	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	9	33	0
40	Eli Raridon	NE	4.7	12.0	33	4.7	4.0	bye	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	8	33	0
41	Evan Engram	DEN	3.7	12.3	32	3.7	bye	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	8	32	0
42	Zach Ertz	PHI	4.0	11.7	31	4.0	bye	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	8	31	0
43	Teagan Quitoriano	ARI	3.1	14.0	28	3.1	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	8	28	0
44	Noah Fant	NO	2.4	12.4	27	2.4	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	9	27	0
45	Noah Gray	KC	3.0	11.6	26	3.0	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	9	26	0
46	Dawson Knox	BUF	2.4	11.2	25	2.4	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	9	25	0
47	Elijah Higgins	ARI	2.9	11.6	23	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	bye	2.9	2.9	2.9	8	23	0
48	Brevyn Spann-Ford	DAL	3.4	11.2	23	3.4	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	8	23	0
49	Foster Moreau	HOU	2.6	10.0	23	2.6	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	9	23	0
50	Jeremy Ruckert	NYJ	2.9	8.4	23	2.9	2.8	2.8	2.8	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	8	23	0
51	Mitchell Evans	CAR	2.5	10.0	23	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	9	23	0
52	Theo Johnson	NYG	2.3	10.0	22	2.3	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	9	22	0
53	Davis Allen	LAR	3.7	7.8	22	3.7	2.6	bye	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	8	22	0
54	Terrance FergusonInjured reserve, ankle, 5 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	LAR	0.912%	7.41.0 of 3 games	21	0.9	1.9	bye	2.5	3.0	3.1	3.2	3.4	3.4	2.8	21	1
55	Nate Boerkircher	JAX	2.5	9.2	21	2.5	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	9	21	0
56	Daniel Bellinger	TEN	bye	10.4	21	bye	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	8	21	0
57	Nate Adkins	DEN	2.6	7.8	21	2.6	bye	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	8	21	0
58	Josh Cuevas	BAL	3.3	6.6	19	3.3	2.2	2.2	2.2	bye	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	8	19	0
59	Drew Sample	CIN	1.1	8.4	18	1.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	9	18	0
60	Jonnu Smith	GB	2.4	6.6	18	2.4	2.2	bye	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	8	18	0

How to read it

This week's column is the same projection the rankings are built on, matchup and weather in. Later weeks are the player's own rate with the week switched off, so they do not know who he plays; a week 12 number is a center, not a forecast. Who plays comes from the designation, what is hurt, and how many games he has already missed, read against every absence by a quarterback, back, receiver or tight end from 2021 to 2025 (nflverse injury reports). Out players played 0 of 1,426 times, Doubtful 1 of 231, Questionable starters 677 of 961. After a missed game the chance of playing the next one depends on the injury and how long he has been out: a hamstring comes back faster than a knee, and every week out lowers the odds. Injured reserve carries the league's own rule, four games missed before he can return; a torn ACL or Achilles is written off for the year. The row under each name says what the data did with him. At quarterback the fill-in gets exactly the weeks the starter is expected to miss. Backs and receivers keep their own current rate, which lags a little when a starter comes back. Value is the number to compare across positions: a back and a receiver with the same total are not worth the same, because the free pickup you could play instead scores differently at each spot. Subtracting that pickup's points is what makes the two comparable.

How it was tested. For every week 3 through 12 of 2024 and 2025, every player was projected with only what was known that week and checked against what he actually averaged the rest of the way. It beat a plain season-to-date average at running back, receiver and tight end in both seasons, and beat last year's numbers at every position in both. At quarterback it tied the season average in 2024 and beat it in 2025. The numbers are on the model log, and the projections get graded on the scorecard when the season ends.

How far off it runs. Over those same weeks the per-game number missed what the player actually averaged by about 3 points a game for a back, 2.7 for a receiver, 2.2 for a tight end and 4.2 for a quarterback, in half-PPR. The trade analyzer shows that miss under each player and calls a deal even when the gap is inside it. The number also spreads players out more than the season does, by about a fifth at back and receiver, so two stars a few points apart here are closer than they look.

What it can't know. The actual date a player comes back; the return odds are averages over hundreds of injuries, and his doctor knows more. Whether a role is about to change hands. Your playoff weeks. Treat the per-game number as a center, not a promise.